MFP Agreements Don’t Guarantee Better Patient Access

A study by IQVIA finds that first prescription rejection rates were unchanged for the first MFP negotiated drugs after implementation in January.

A notable study by IQVIA found that for the first drugs subject to Medicare maximum fair price (MFP) agreements, initial rejection rates were not significantly lower than before the new prices took effect in January 2026.

One of the main stipulations of the MFP agreements was that if the reference drug manufacturer signed an MFP agreement, Medicare Part D drug plans and Medicare Advantage plans would have to cover the drug on their formularies.

Enbrel and Stelara Rejection Rates

Enbrel and Stelara are the two Part D drugs of interest in this first round of Medicare MFP negotiations. Enbrel has no current biosimilar competition (though 2 approved products), and Stelara has plenty of it.

These two drugs comprise the immunology sector of the first 10 drugs subject to MFP. According to the IQVIA data, the initial rejection rates for those new to the brand were 59% for the first quarter of 2026. When looking forward 30 days, the average rejection rate on appeal was 22%. In the past 5 years, the initial rejection rates ranged from 61% to 73%. IQVIA did not break down the rejection rates for the two individual biologics.

In their post, IQVIA said, “Expectations for Medicare drug price negotiation to improve patient access have yet to come to fruition. Even more concerning, additional future IPAY-selected drugs are in the immunology and oncology therapeutic areas and other therapeutic areas with similar costs and treatment complexity, facing similarly high levels of payer control.”

The Result of Heavy Biosimilar Competition?

Granted, both etanercept and ustekinumab are unusual products, in that they are both subject to heavy competition from other agents within the same or similar drug categories. In fact, the MFP for Stelara is not competitive with several ustekinumab biosimilars on the market today. The existence of over 10 adalimumab biosimilars at deep discounts would be a highly attractive prior step before approval of either Enbrel or Stelara. Therefore, it is unlikely that payers will significantly change coverage policies to improve access to these two agents under current conditions.

As more Part B medications are subject to MFP negotiations, patient access may change somewhat for those particular drugs. However, one must remember that patient access improvement was not the primary goal of Medicare MFP negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act. The real goal was cost reduction for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.

As we can see, cost reduction may not equal better patient access, even if deep price reductions on biologics are available on direct-to-consumer sites because of relatively high patient out-of-pocket costs. Therefore, this finding is not surprising. We saw the same lack of effect when the adalimumab biosimilars were first introduced in 2023: Much lower costs didn’t result in prescriptions to patients; only formulary policy changes did.

Instead, I tend to view IQVIA’s study as more supportive of a 360-degree view of the effectiveness of biosimilar competition for these two medications.

This article was written by our Director of Content, Stanton Mehr. Stan has been writing commentary and reporting news about the biosimilar industry since the submission of the first biosimilar 351(k) application to the FDA 13 years ago. Since that time, BR&R has been tracking the US biosimilar marketplace, with the industry’s original, comprehensive and updated database of biosimilar filings with the FDA. 

Lessons for Biosimilars From the Generic Drug Industry

The utilization of generics in the US is vast, upwards of 86% of all prescriptions in 2017, according to the latest research by IQVIA. The pace of generic drug approvals by the Food and Drug Administration is also impressive, with 767 last year. This does not ensure the future of the generic drug industry, however, said Doug Long, MBA, IQVIA’s Vice President of Industry Relations. If we’re not careful, biosimilars in the pipeline could suffer a fate similar to that for newly approved generics.

Doug Long, IQVIA
Doug Long, IQVIA

In his yearly update presented at the Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy 2018 annual meeting on April 25, Mr. Long said that despite near-record numbers of generic approvals over a three-year period, “only 30% of these generics were actually launched. That’s not happened before.” The reason is that the manufacturers, upon receiving approval, reevaluate the marketplace prospects for their product and the competition. “They decide not to throw additional money into a losing proposition,” he stated. In fact, of the 767 generic approvals, only 73 were first-time generics. Ninety percent were simply piling competition onto already crowded drug categories.

He terms it a race to the bottom, but not a death spiral for generics. That is, “we’ve already reached the bottom, and we will come off of it” at some point. Generic drug manufacturers’ reticence to launch will help change the market direction.

Biosimilars have vast potential to save health care dollars, but only if they are launched. In a couple of instances, manufacturers have reviewed their biosimilar positions (Shire, EMD Serono) while early in the pipeline. Though it is reasonable to expect a paring back of prospective biosimilar drug makers, we hoped this would happen once the marketplace becomes saturated. That of course has not happened.

More Evidence of Value in Generics

Although several generic drugs have been associated with steep price increases, the net price change in 2017 for generics was -7.2%, according to Mr. Long. Most of this was the result of large rebates. Despite 86% generic drug prescribing, generics account for only 13% of the revenues. “I think there will be more generic drug shortages as a result of this revenue picture. People are refusing to launch after receiving approval, based on the dynamics of the marketplace,” he said. There will be more patent expirations and opportunities for first-time generics, “but I have less optimism on the biosimilar side.”

“Of 9 biosimilar approvals, we have only 3 launched products,” emphasized Mr. Long, “accounting for just $1 billion in total value of US marketplace in biosimilars.” He was hopeful that biosimilars for Remicade would have “broken the dam,” but this hasn’t happened. “Instead, payers have chosen to take the rebates, not the biosimilars. That resulted in only a 3% marketshare as a result for infliximab biosimilars.”

He noted that the average rebates given to payers and pharmacy benefit managers is 25% for biologics overall. Rebates in the autoimmune area averaged 20%, but payer market research routinely confirms that Janssen’s Remicade® rebates well exceed this figure.

Note: IQVIA is the child of the marriage between Quintiles and IMS.